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Frozen pre-match forecast · #170300

Monaco VS Lille

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.79%
Draw
24.95%
Away
29.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
49f9bf642c4f343f4456ab3900ea7b1889f70f6082138c6863c8fae9e9d6bfe4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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