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Frozen pre-match forecast · #170279

Certosa V. Campagnano VS Latte Dolce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.65%
Draw
22.56%
Away
16.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9957
Log loss
1.4889

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
c7b24a9fede48ee74ee5e692b0a00839fc7ec09fca4ebceb018a8d02e3d60f36

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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