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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17022

Union Namur VS Stockay-Warfusée

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.84%
Draw
29.49%
Away
31.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7483
Log loss
1.2211

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
68c08b0b8bd4f2a53f2b5da97316cfa4fd914ad957929216e63f0c3e5f717082

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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