Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #17009

Maccabi Netanya VS Maccabi Tel Aviv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.96%
Draw
43.43%
Away
42.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5375
Log loss
0.8531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
3f6643939f2652ae6baf3a828492e0bb1cc64554d7028d944ee2712cf1997dcd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →