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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1699

Middelfart VS VSK Århus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.76%
Draw
29.08%
Away
34.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7548
Log loss
1.2351

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
dd64251ea9cff60fac2caf3d8a2603e1d99357430f8693a03c2790bc66eed54c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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