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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16982

Al-Wasl FC VS Al Ain

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.77%
Draw
29.96%
Away
35.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6397
Log loss
1.0564

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
9b548a8ad2126d54cf620d4c3ecf59bc8a379f57439ecdf297749ed15b76cb43

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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