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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169805

Celaya VS Cordobés

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.29%
Draw
21.79%
Away
13.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6cc4841ff49695ef8e6890789c20ed1e21c3c0ca1f117eb5c6013c8585d9287c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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