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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16975

Shabab Al Ordon VS Al Hussein

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.69%
Draw
31.89%
Away
45.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7217
Log loss
1.1429

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
390b264ddb653fc02266cc22c36a9ef7f551b41c371af36ca3b4cfc4e16832be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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