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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169721

Patriotas VS Envigado

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.08%
Draw
27.96%
Away
42.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
512562cefc949e73ca0da9d913c86426f239e05d05d0edd56353d19c2ca647a3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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