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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169658

CRB VS Londrina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.23%
Draw
23.92%
Away
23.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3422
Log loss
0.6494

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
7f7fc4103d90f372d705d8aabf5c9815193aff9d716245b6130497dee2819cdc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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