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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169445

Teleoptik VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.97%
Draw
24.02%
Away
50.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3750
Log loss
0.6929

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fc6e9fc10f2153704b0321922862546e7349dfa5958233e0533656be880e4b0b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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