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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169398

Podvinci VS Radomlje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
6.86%
Draw
12.51%
Away
80.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0579
Log loss
0.2153

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
0db640f82ce6844456285b630822582e352ae596c3b79fc5bd43d18e29354d22

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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