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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169296

Shkupi 1927 VS Kamjani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.87%
Draw
17.96%
Away
71.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1272
Log loss
0.3401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
815c3f745afee7d3acfa22d160f9a59ac26651d15c93a3e82bb45be8963b616f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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