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Frozen pre-match forecast · #169035

Gillingham VS Grimsby

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.04%
Draw
26.41%
Away
38.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
2bb258354d4b2c09ddbdc4526d3cc6f39a952c5b413cb859ddf71ea36d882379

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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