Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #168758

Nyrsko VS Táborsko II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.96%
Draw
14.38%
Away
75.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.0898
Log loss
0.2789

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
12524bca8d644295f2b6dd1e2d0cc26a24254f5035434b368c43d9cefd3fa645

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →