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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168754

Galanta VS Humenné

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.98%
Draw
24.11%
Away
21.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9153
Log loss
1.4225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
f704e17cceb2d9f1f89bd521e60d52e27dab465d02338d1dbec2bb53de47082a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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