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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168743

Telos Agras VS Korinthos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.29%
Draw
25.98%
Away
43.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7447
Log loss
1.1944

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
86c4f8f0aaae324c73a95ab75d4dbfa1a915a1889efad7b53917353561094b62

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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