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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168649

ASIL Lysi VS Doxa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.08%
Draw
25.24%
Away
38.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
aaf799d859b22bf5a4fa4249d7e7d288dc51dc7e884a16f8a1c1ad605c3c2260

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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