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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168534

Strømsgodset II VS Ulfstind

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.93%
Draw
7.91%
Away
5.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0260
Log loss
0.1401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
90a153e0f2ea5ea8143e858e9ec5415e4a9d3fc7a3ee14e6c192378d0c6f1b78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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