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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16853

Bunyodkor VS Buxoro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.99%
Draw
33.21%
Away
35.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7148
Log loss
1.1716

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
b908818b4d97e706d1787741938c209159bbddd45af04f6a4e62861f54bf3a26

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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