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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16852

VC Warriors VS Bectero Sasana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.19%
Draw
28.79%
Away
27.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4674
Log loss
0.8167

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
49f444cd1c7521d9154d1cc2c6f4afc7eafa08cc94dbd55e66afaa5d13f0c550

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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