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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168022

Reinickendorfer Fuchse VS Tennis Borussia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.48%
Draw
25.24%
Away
30.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4636
Log loss
0.8101

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
9b0c0c7bd8a5e02ba24fa4c5cc0b013dc50c53b735f973d48bad0e9f2a5188a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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