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Frozen pre-match forecast · #168019

Parndorf VS Scheiblingkirchen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.86%
Draw
21.48%
Away
16.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2194
Log loss
0.4803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
20c382cacf8b9dec43c58b2fd566ae07ae33e1efcb5146c200cd5fc4c57ebee4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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