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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167894

Haras El Hodood VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.91%
Draw
28.01%
Away
18.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8416
Log loss
1.2725

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6a315677f1bcf5b2e3899d1c12c1cf5288492ef5a59999d0eca5292c58400fee

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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