Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #167848

Univer Comrat VS Iskra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.80%
Draw
22.43%
Away
47.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4119
Log loss
0.7388

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
2ad158ea5055884fa9abaa66ccc43c795c0919c646e40b5a11e7417a24d9e435

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →