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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167810

Prachuap VS Nonthaburi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
91.08%
Draw
6.83%
Away
2.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0131
Log loss
0.0934

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
1e80c2a7179400b842fbbfc8aed344206fba4966df48f76754a6cd843e29c20f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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