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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16740

Robres VS Huesca II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.10%
Draw
40.89%
Away
40.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5460
Log loss
0.8943

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
a77e1fcc53675e4d42d31d8cb1c3232fb1b24b8ea93ec9d14683b8bb10d2c1d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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