Frozen pre-match forecast · #16719
Kosmonosy VS Chrudim II
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 53.44%
- Draw
- 27.62%
- Away
- 18.94%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3289
- Log loss
- 0.6266
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 19 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
- SHA-256
- a9b21dfa0adf1d01e713cd75f1dcd636a1b51130a07c9a34f970b6644e4420b1
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.