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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167087

Goias VS CRB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 00:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.45%
Draw
26.68%
Away
33.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5525
Log loss
0.9301

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 00:01 UTC
SHA-256
5fa7d04ec3f38cd112d3f6c4747fdec174c3cc00b1a088dfa29780dee0697ba9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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