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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167071

Kawasaki Frontale VS Vissel Kobe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.16%
Draw
24.79%
Away
34.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5236
Log loss
0.8877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
SHA-256
532f26808952bd7c05fbc8a94490f36846649e7c9f9e63404ec6b0905d273633

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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