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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167066

Deportivo La Coruna VS Osasuna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.11%
Draw
26.26%
Away
25.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4040
Log loss
0.7318

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
0a2ce62e38bf56173e7b49c7d7d01675d64fba93702cd6252cc7b588161fa619

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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