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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167059

Juventus U23 VS PRO Vercelli

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.75%
Draw
27.15%
Away
31.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8017
Log loss
1.3038

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
347249b2845f4640060b397c735af465343ff0552a83fccfda1070fcaf522b74

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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