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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167058

Fiorentina W VS Juventus W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.56%
Draw
21.06%
Away
64.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1924
Log loss
0.4403

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
5606f8aa7e4093eb9ebbc5800ace5b787ba2841fd5aeba5d94850f5b6d9cb5d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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