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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167034

Osters IF VS Helsingborg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.89%
Draw
22.48%
Away
21.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2919
Log loss
0.5818

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
63f394974adc7b55823d1a3129fc9f2ff467d8e4f21b4bda77c6b8fe34b742b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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