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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167017

Al-Wasl FC VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
78.47%
Draw
14.76%
Away
6.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0728
Log loss
0.2426

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
829567a50665ee4df5047435ad77335b28c14b2cec6eb13f28536fcd94c66f6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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