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Frozen pre-match forecast · #167012

Brežice VS Beltinci

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.64%
Draw
18.69%
Away
66.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.1675
Log loss
0.4054

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
a33d9e1bc9250e97e9beb122e2ac446b140a3e8bd905c141ec7caa752bda9c2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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