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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166925

Agama VS TelOne

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.90%
Draw
31.10%
Away
29.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5420
Log loss
0.9188

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
c23c8b1ec71b39e87cec774d57d181fea42cf5755c9f0db6388ea908f19f772c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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