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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166902

Dibrados FC VS Loud

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.17%
Draw
16.21%
Away
54.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 690-minute result
Brier score
1.0856
Log loss
1.8196

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
0dae6d68de4c9a7cae6d3b519f69dd4ef2918b184f27738bdbf66f731b3deb84

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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