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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166783

Korba VS Olympique du Kef

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.15%
Draw
26.53%
Away
15.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2690
Log loss
0.5421

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
6d46e353fe190d66bddcdf08a390b8a92f1616fe34aa091153e0b81b28659c28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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