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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1665

Ulfstind VS Bossekop

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.79%
Draw
32.88%
Away
47.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4247
Log loss
0.7480

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
55eadbb2f06236249625d62252a37dcc74384083e3b47f649c28e32f5740ed0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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