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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166470

Kristiansund BK VS KFUM Oslo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.63%
Draw
25.22%
Away
40.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8403
Log loss
1.3774

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
1a7579749fcb8885a0a8d863d139b204cc9fc0cc94b686b662924d1ef793087f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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