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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166423

ASVO VS Djeffa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.22%
Draw
29.72%
Away
20.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3763
Log loss
0.6887

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
a3407065dcff531c336da93137719eaa838af0e2b969506e5a7c3113a63a41dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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