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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166369

AS Eupen VS Beerschot VA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.42%
Draw
22.76%
Away
22.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9438
Log loss
1.4779

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
2ac66f71ef63f2de151b7f5f918a993000a8cf97cbcf3ac60445e948e489b220

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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