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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16630

Billericay Town VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.31%
Draw
29.56%
Away
32.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6948
Log loss
1.1354

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
3f58da1dfb90fc02016a477a9dba89a5fc7127c9ae0b4d6e5e66749660ea8b4b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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