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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166166

Mezzolara VS Terranuova Traiana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.91%
Draw
29.47%
Away
30.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7505
Log loss
1.2218

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
c5d9c431380d4f03f5cb275d3e6c9cea69f01ca4ed1e15c60954936026681eee

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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