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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166165

Lucchese VS Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.86%
Draw
16.23%
Away
8.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
ae7e3f2d63ec2b62da54f7e2192db1df66ff5849d994afdd914aed1102cf8a8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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