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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166116

Bassecourt VS FC Wohlen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.05%
Draw
25.57%
Away
37.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6014
Log loss
0.9929

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
08d0f26b4c3c455d319c75c237f77fe48c096991d18411efec4240f882b4627b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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