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Frozen pre-match forecast · #166055

Panagriniakos VS Agios Matthaios

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.23%
Draw
25.96%
Away
36.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8223
Log loss
1.3486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
f7e59c5ff9f9157afb9238f228fc47e8b0a72abe52f94267eef8297162fc2c03

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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