Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #16605

Progresul Spartac VS Omega Sport

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.95%
Draw
29.08%
Away
41.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5052
Log loss
0.8684

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
c9a2952e45233c030d01a611b125b4967a792fb2fe652544be7650805acaab80

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →