Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #16604

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Dinamo Bucureşti II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.52%
Draw
29.27%
Away
30.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7371
Log loss
1.1972

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
9de3ae78ad2d0fffb7f69b22b198a22a59a09b5238b9bb969d6d1d48026a624f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →